Sep. 17, 2008.
Russias major stock exchanges, the RTS and the MICEX, suspended all trade for an hour on Tuesday after indices took a dive. The fall reflects events on Wall Street, where share prices have plunged largely due to the fourth largest American investment bank Lehman Brothers filing for bankruptcy protection.
If the American stock market is going down, its taking everybody with it. The Moscow Interbank Currency Exchange (MICEX) saw its worst ever day, plunging 17% on Tuesday.
Three months ago the Russian Trading Systems dollar-dominated index hit record highs – along with the oil price. Now the RTS has fallen by half and oil is down one third.
I believe China is the worst performing in the world. Ukraine is right up there. But investors have certainly noticed the u-turn the Russian market has taken in the second half, says Erik Depoy, Alfa-Bank equity strategist.
Of the BRIC emerging markets, China, is down 60%, Russia is down 50, and Brazil and India around 25%.
A lot of other countries in the world are very envious of Russia’s very strong fiscal position, the budget surplus and so on. But the financial markets are a very different story. And again, the fact that Russia was performing so well in the first half is a recognition of this, Depoy says.
Central banks around the world have pumped money into the financial system, led by the U.S. Federal Reserve with $US 50 billion. Russia allotted US $19 billion to the Russian markets on Tuesday, with more planned for Wednesday.
I think Russia’s relatively well positioned because although its right at the bottom its now also by far the cheapest so if there’s a rebound one could assume that Russia will come up really fast, says Tom Mundy, equity strategist at Renaissance Capital.
As bad as the situation may look, there is a silver lining. This latest sell-off shows Russia is now closely integrated in the world’s financial system.
Source:
http://www.russiatoday.com/business/news/30530
Duration : 0:2:50
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Update: April 7 2008:
Today we look at FAZ as it presents a lot of great set-ups both on the swing trade level and the intra day trade level. With a massive triangle and a channel, it seems like you can get yourself some very nice scalps in the next few days. In relation to the financials, we are looking at the H&S formation on the XLF which could break down and form a very strong downside potential. We look at the SPY and show that there is still indecision and that we can still get a pop up to the 50% retracement before we see this rally consolidate a little bit. And finally look at the Dow and MELI, which both give us clearer signals!
Today we play the calendar game. We start off with a weekly chart of the ES (SPY futures) dating back a few years and see what has been happening in the markets ever since. We slowly zoom into the action and try to understand where we are at within the bearish patterns that have been developing over the last 6 months. Today we notice that the 3 last days of the rally have been an ascending wedge formed by an options expiration lift, and if broken to the downside could be incredibly bearish into next week. We also notice that the last week has been basically consolidation for another potential move higher if 1008 on the S&P is broken. If that level is broken, we will shoot to the 1008 double top and probably break it and rally to at least 1020-1025 and as high as 1045. Since we’ve had 3 days of low volume rallies we believe that tomorrow could be a pull back, we played today by selling the upside 102 SPY august calls hoping for some premium, and buying september puts (even though some got stopped out earlier on).
Today I look only at the SPY and VIX chart, but I forecast two potential scenarios in the market, that both lead to a higher (lower volume) ending day (0.5-1%) for tuesdays trade. The first is a small gap higher due to the amateurish action that happened in the last 20 minutes of trading and then a sustained low volume increase until the end of the day, potentially forming a doji green candle. The second is a continued sell off lower to hit the 88.20 level in which we will reverse mid day and end the day potentially flat or slightly positive. I hope you take my words of advice that I put out on this video because it is extremely important in order to become a good trader!
Today we look at how the market is forming a possible top and end to the rally for the short and short/medium terms. We see that many short ETFS are forming capitulation bottoms, and that many stocks are rallying beyond sustainable levels. With that in mind, we believe that one of the targets for this rally will form the last resistance, and we will begin at least a 20-25% consolidation. While we do have still a potential 1-3% more upside from here, going short today was smarter than going long. This market in the near term (1-2days) could consolidate once more, if not reverse. Our targets are 1053-1055, or 1067-1068 and finally 1088 (if it ever reaches it), based on fib retracement targets. In these videos we show you the Dow and how it hits resistance, the S&P and how that hits resistance of the wedge and horizontal price resistance. We show you individual stocks such as the USO, XLF, SRS, JPM, SPY, WYNN and MGM.
Today we look at the market sell off that we were able to predict very accurately. For the past 2 weeks we have hit the nail on the head in every move, down and up. The SPY target for the rally was 110.40, and even though we peaked a little above that, the 60 minutes never closed above 110.40. 
Today I update my fellow viewers on what the last 2 days of action really mean for this market. The DOJI candle that formed today on incredible low day could be viewed as two things: The first, is that it is a consolidation pattern for the huge move up that we had on Thursday. The second is that it is an indecision reversal candle. i would believe the former only if we get another day of consolidation down on low volume. However, I believe the latter because there are a lot of resistance which points could point to a move lower. We formed a double top area at 922 on the SPX, and this could actually be the top of the right shoulder. As we form the Head and Shoulders formation, other resistances such as the 923 level, descending channel, 20 SMA Daily lie overhead and could provide a strong push lower. Monday’s action could be one of a fakeout, we might get a rally in early trading to hit those resistances and then fall down from there to at least down 1.5%. If we fall down on low volume though, I will look to position myself long. My other advice is to not get too bullish before the 923-924 is broken. And also to take profits at the 880 level if it is reached at any point next week. We could very well break 880 but i think taking some profits off there is important and essential. I look at the SPY, AAPL, GS and VIX
Hey guys,