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Duration : 0:18:51
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Major turn in S&P 500… and we called price and date of swing…
New BREAKOUT STOCK… All Signs Pointing this will have a nice surge higher!
Today we look at FAZ as it presents a lot of great set-ups both on the swing trade level and the intra day trade level. With a massive triangle and a channel, it seems like you can get yourself some very nice scalps in the next few days. In relation to the financials, we are looking at the H&S formation on the XLF which could break down and form a very strong downside potential. We look at the SPY and show that there is still indecision and that we can still get a pop up to the 50% retracement before we see this rally consolidate a little bit. And finally look at the Dow and MELI, which both give us clearer signals!
Today we play the calendar game. We start off with a weekly chart of the ES (SPY futures) dating back a few years and see what has been happening in the markets ever since. We slowly zoom into the action and try to understand where we are at within the bearish patterns that have been developing over the last 6 months. Today we notice that the 3 last days of the rally have been an ascending wedge formed by an options expiration lift, and if broken to the downside could be incredibly bearish into next week. We also notice that the last week has been basically consolidation for another potential move higher if 1008 on the S&P is broken. If that level is broken, we will shoot to the 1008 double top and probably break it and rally to at least 1020-1025 and as high as 1045. Since we’ve had 3 days of low volume rallies we believe that tomorrow could be a pull back, we played today by selling the upside 102 SPY august calls hoping for some premium, and buying september puts (even though some got stopped out earlier on).
Today I look only at the SPY and VIX chart, but I forecast two potential scenarios in the market, that both lead to a higher (lower volume) ending day (0.5-1%) for tuesdays trade. The first is a small gap higher due to the amateurish action that happened in the last 20 minutes of trading and then a sustained low volume increase until the end of the day, potentially forming a doji green candle. The second is a continued sell off lower to hit the 88.20 level in which we will reverse mid day and end the day potentially flat or slightly positive. I hope you take my words of advice that I put out on this video because it is extremely important in order to become a good trader!
Today we look at how the market is forming a possible top and end to the rally for the short and short/medium terms. We see that many short ETFS are forming capitulation bottoms, and that many stocks are rallying beyond sustainable levels. With that in mind, we believe that one of the targets for this rally will form the last resistance, and we will begin at least a 20-25% consolidation. While we do have still a potential 1-3% more upside from here, going short today was smarter than going long. This market in the near term (1-2days) could consolidate once more, if not reverse. Our targets are 1053-1055, or 1067-1068 and finally 1088 (if it ever reaches it), based on fib retracement targets. In these videos we show you the Dow and how it hits resistance, the S&P and how that hits resistance of the wedge and horizontal price resistance. We show you individual stocks such as the USO, XLF, SRS, JPM, SPY, WYNN and MGM.