Hey guys,
Even though this week is options expiration week, ti seems like this market is acting very reasonably and is following the charts so far to the tee. Today I look at the SPY and talk about the significant, high volume (relatively) drop that we had and where I think we’re headed in the next few days. The SPY has traded below the 92.80 level but managed to regain it by the end of the day. This means that we have potentially started a new trend of lower highs and lower lows…, but we will have to see how far the bulls can take this market up before we can safely categorize this bearish trend. I also look at the VIX which broke its descending wedge resistance, and how it can be free to move higher from here. In addition look at charts of GS, XLF, DZZ, SRS, UNG and AMZN.
Duration : 0:10:32
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Today we looked at a bunch of stocks that the hedge fund has taken short and some plays heading into the next few days as I will be gone. 
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Today we look at the sell off that broke the S&P channel, and how we played it short from both the XLF and BEN puts side, and the SPY puts side that were put on later that day. I added some GLD september puts in anticipation for a further move to the downside. Because not only the channel but a major support line was breached the next move could be another dump of stocks, there is however a potential for another small rise in stocks to form a more complete H&S formation on the 60 minute charts. It seems like there is a relatively clear path towards the 961 level on the S&P which is the neckline of the major inverse H&S that everyone has seen in the past. I also look at Gold (GLD), XLF, and BEN.
Hey guys,
VISIT: WWW.STOCKTOCK.COM for intraday commentary Today we looked at the last week’s action and how shorting the stock market and buying cheap calls for protection is probably going to pan out very well. We also own JPM puts and SPY puts. We look at the longer term ramifications and how the charts are showing a lot of bearish patterns which can eventually take us to the 825-840 buffer zone and maybe even new lows down the road. While a lot of people think that this market is going to either move up or crash hard, we believe that the pace of the downtrend will begin very moderately but will speed up once the wedge support line is broken. We also look at the SPY, XLF, AIG and GLD.
Today we looked at many charts all around and have tried to make sense of the market action. While we got the strong pull back we expected early on in the day, the market did reverse and move higher making the daily S&P candle not so bearish. We still want a confirmation lower and a break of a trend line before we can get more bearish but the setup in other stocks excluding energy is to the downside. With the XLF showing huge down volume in the last 20 minutes it seems like we could see an H&S forming. Other tech look weak including BIDU, AAPL and AMZN (less weak). Financials including GS, and JPM sold off away from their highs and could be showing signs of a reversal or at least a prolonged consolidation. BAC is a very weak stock after it missed it’s earnings, with that in mind it might be worth shorting BAC and Citigroup ( C ) and going long the XLF as a hedge. I also expect WYNN to potentially hit lower lows.. but keep a stop at a descending resistance trendline, I have already gotten stopped out and i’m out of this position.
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